Mortgage Rates Hit a 14-Month High. What Waiting Actually Costs Broward Buyers
Mortgage rates went the wrong direction again this week. Freddie Mac reported the 30-year fixed climbed to 6.76%, up from 6.71% the week before. Fifteen-year rates followed, up to 6.09% from 6.04%. Both numbers mark a third straight weekly increase, and the 30-year rate hasn't been this high since June of last year.
A year ago, that same 30-year rate sat at 6.35%. That four-tenths of a point does not sound like much on paper. On a typical Broward mortgage, it is real money every single month.
Take a $375,000 loan, close to what a buyer might borrow after putting 20% down on a median-priced Broward home. At 6.35%, the principal and interest payment runs about $2,334 a month. At 6.76%, it runs about $2,435. That is roughly $100 more every month, for as long as you hold the loan. Stretch it across 30 years and the gap adds up to somewhere around $36,000 in extra interest, for a house that has not changed at all.
I bring this up because I keep hearing the same plan from buyers sitting on the sidelines: wait for rates to come back down, then buy. It is not a bad instinct. Rates have been high for a while and nobody enjoys a 6.76% payment. But the plan only works if rates actually move in the direction you are betting on, and this year they have not.
The reason has nothing to do with the housing market itself. Mortgage rates track the 10-year Treasury yield, and that yield has been climbing because of oil prices tied to the U.S. war with Iran. Higher oil prices feed inflation worries, inflation worries push bond yields up, and mortgage lenders price off those yields. None of that is something a Federal Reserve meeting or a strong jobs report is going to fix quickly.
I am not going to tell you where rates go from here. Nobody can, and anyone who says otherwise is guessing with confidence they have not earned. What I will say is that waiting for rates to drop is a bet, not a plan, and right now that bet is not paying off. If a buyer can afford the payment today, on a home that fits, waiting on a rate that keeps climbing is not free. It has a monthly cost and it has a lifetime cost, and both are bigger than most people assume until someone runs them.
Broward's own market gives buyers a little room to work with right now. Supply is closer to balanced than it has been in years, which means less competition for the right house and more room to negotiate on price or ask a seller to help buy down the rate. That kind of leverage tends to shrink once rates finally do turn, because everyone who was waiting shows up to buy at once.
If you are trying to decide whether now makes sense for you, run the actual numbers on the actual loan you would take, not a rough estimate. It changes the decision more often than people expect.
Roger Averbuj, Broker | Prestige Heritage Realty | (954) 663-8461
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